Lens A
Plant Prospectus
33 opportunity clusters — tracts at least 6 miles from any existing UMC, ranked on growth (35%), religious gap (30%), demographic fit (20%), and density (15%). Knowing where not to plant is part of the analysis: the bottom of the list passed the distance filter but scores low across the board.
Top opportunities
#1
82
Sonterra
Williamson County · 2 tracts
Driven by strong recent population growth; a relatively dense population base.
#2
82
Belterra
Hays County · 4 tracts
Driven by strong recent population growth; a relatively dense population base.
#3
75
Caldwell County (rural)
Caldwell County
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; a demographic profile that fits the formula's bilingual / young-family / inverse-income weighting; a relatively dense population base.
#4
72
Hays County (rural)
Hays County
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes.
#5
72
Bastrop County (rural)
Bastrop County
Driven by a relatively dense population base.
#6
72
Hays County (rural)
Hays County · 3 tracts
Driven by strong recent population growth; a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; a demographic profile that doesn't match the formula's bilingual / young-family weighting (older, higher-income or low Hispanic share).
#7
71
Camp Swift
Bastrop County · 3 tracts
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; a demographic profile that fits the formula's bilingual / young-family / inverse-income weighting.
#8
69
Austin County (rural)
Austin County · 2 tracts
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes.
#9
65
Austin County (rural)
Austin County · 4 tracts
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes.
#10
65
Weir
Williamson County
Score components fall in the middle of the distribution across all four lenses — neither a standout opportunity nor an obvious caution.
Remaining eligible clusters
#11
61
Rosanky
Bastrop County
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes.
#12
60
Granite Shoals
Burnet County · 8 tracts
Driven by a demographic profile that fits the formula's bilingual / young-family / inverse-income weighting.
#13
58
Caldwell County (rural)
Caldwell County
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).
#14
58
Colorado County (rural)
Colorado County
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).
#15
58
Burnet County (rural)
Burnet County
Driven by flat or shrinking population over the last 5 years; a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes.
#16
57
Bastrop County (rural)
Bastrop County
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes.
#17
56
Fayette County (rural)
Fayette County
Driven by flat or shrinking population over the last 5 years; a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes.
#18
55
San Saba
San Saba County · 2 tracts
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).
#19
55
Lampasas County (rural)
Lampasas County
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; a demographic profile that doesn't match the formula's bilingual / young-family weighting (older, higher-income or low Hispanic share); low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).
#20
54
Lampasas
Lampasas County · 3 tracts
Score components fall in the middle of the distribution across all four lenses — neither a standout opportunity nor an obvious caution.
#21
54
Travis County (rural)
Travis County
Driven by a demographic profile that doesn't match the formula's bilingual / young-family weighting (older, higher-income or low Hispanic share); low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).
#22
53
Burnet
Burnet County · 3 tracts
Score components fall in the middle of the distribution across all four lenses — neither a standout opportunity nor an obvious caution.
#23
52
Burnet County (rural)
Burnet County
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; a demographic profile that doesn't match the formula's bilingual / young-family weighting (older, higher-income or low Hispanic share).
#24
51
Caldwell County (rural)
Caldwell County
Driven by flat or shrinking population over the last 5 years; a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; a demographic profile that fits the formula's bilingual / young-family / inverse-income weighting; low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).
#25
50
Austin County (rural)
Austin County
Driven by flat or shrinking population over the last 5 years; a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).
#26
49
Llano County (rural)
Llano County
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; a demographic profile that doesn't match the formula's bilingual / young-family weighting (older, higher-income or low Hispanic share); low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).
#27
49
Fayette County (rural)
Fayette County
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).
#28
46
Gillespie County (rural)
Gillespie County
Driven by flat or shrinking population over the last 5 years; a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes.
Passed the filter, but caution
#29
46
Llano
Llano County
Driven by flat or shrinking population over the last 5 years; a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes.
#30
45
Austin County (rural)
Austin County
Driven by flat or shrinking population over the last 5 years; a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; a demographic profile that doesn't match the formula's bilingual / young-family weighting (older, higher-income or low Hispanic share).
#31
45
Burnet County (rural)
Burnet County · 2 tracts
Driven by a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; a demographic profile that doesn't match the formula's bilingual / young-family weighting (older, higher-income or low Hispanic share); low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).
#32
42
Fayette County (rural)
Fayette County
Driven by flat or shrinking population over the last 5 years; a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; a demographic profile that doesn't match the formula's bilingual / young-family weighting (older, higher-income or low Hispanic share); low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).
#33
38
Llano County (rural)
Llano County
Driven by flat or shrinking population over the last 5 years; a sparse Protestant footprint within 15 minutes; a demographic profile that doesn't match the formula's bilingual / young-family weighting (older, higher-income or low Hispanic share); low population density (≈2,000–3,500 residents).